SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hemel Hempstead Town win with a probability of 46.57%. A win for Dover Athletic had a probability of 29.84% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hemel Hempstead Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.11%) and 2-0 (6.98%). The likeliest Dover Athletic win was 1-2 (7.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Hemel Hempstead Town | Draw | Dover Athletic |
46.57% ( -0.01) | 23.58% ( -0.01) | 29.84% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 60.46% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.87% ( 0.03) | 41.12% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.48% ( 0.02) | 63.51% ( -0.03) |
| Hemel Hempstead Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.08% ( 0.01) | 17.91% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.28% ( 0.01) | 48.71% ( -0.02) |
| Dover Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.66% ( 0.02) | 26.34% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.52% ( 0.03) | 61.47% ( -0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hemel Hempstead Town | Draw | Dover Athletic |
| 2-1 @ 9.31% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8.11% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 6.98% ( -0)3-1 @ 5.34% 3-0 @ 4% ( -0)3-2 @ 3.56% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.29% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.72% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.53% ( 0)Other @ 3.74% Total : 46.57% | 1-1 @ 10.82% 2-2 @ 6.21% ( 0)0-0 @ 4.72% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.58% ( 0)Other @ 0.25% Total : 23.58% | 1-2 @ 7.22% ( 0) 0-1 @ 6.29% ( -0)0-2 @ 4.2% ( -0)1-3 @ 3.21% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.76% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.87% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.07% ( 0)2-4 @ 0.92% ( 0)Other @ 2.3% Total : 29.84% |
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