While neither team can boast of a potent attacking unit heading into this one, the defensive frailties across the teams should result in goals at both ends.
That said, we are tipping Heracles to carry the day, albeit by only a narrow margin.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heracles win with a probability of 45.88%. A win for RKC Waalwijk had a probability of 30.99% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heracles win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.33%) and 2-0 (6.47%). The likeliest RKC Waalwijk win was 1-2 (7.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.37%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.
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