Much will depend on whether Werder are able to select Fullkrug from the start after his recent knock, but the visitors are still capable of scoring goals even without their talismanic figure in attack.
We expect Hertha to provide a reaction after finally making the decision to change their manager earlier this week, with Dardai already boasting a strong connection with the club's fanbase. However, they may fall short of the victory that they so desperately require.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hertha Berlin win with a probability of 40.87%. A win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 34.84% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hertha Berlin win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.87%) and 2-0 (6.15%). The likeliest Werder Bremen win was 1-2 (8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood.
0.35) 
-0.07) 
