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Bundesliga | Gameweek 27
Apr 8, 2023 at 5.30pm UK
Olympic Stadium
LL

Hertha Berlin
0 - 1
RB Leipzig


Lukebakio (31'), Uremovic (45'), Boateng (45+3'), Kanga (70')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Haidara (39')
Szoboszlai (20'), Haidara (45+3'), Simakan (90')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Freiburg 1-1 Hertha Berlin
Saturday, April 1 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Hertha Berlin 1-2 RB Leipzig

Despite facing the threat of relegation, Hertha are certainly not a bad side under Schwarz whatsoever, and they can consider themselves slightly unfortunate to be as low in the table as they are based on their performances this season. Their misfortune could continue on Saturday, with Leipzig appearing to put their recent poor league form behind them after comfortably dispatching Dortmund in midweek. We can envisage a narrow away win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 60.37%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Hertha Berlin had a probability of 18.89%.

The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.27%) and 0-1 (8.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.59%), while for a Hertha Berlin win it was 2-1 (5.13%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that RB Leipzig would win this match.

Result
Hertha BerlinDrawRB Leipzig
18.89% (-0.032999999999998 -0.03) 20.73% (-0.020999999999997 -0.02) 60.37% (0.052999999999997 0.05)
Both teams to score 57.4% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.72% (0.034999999999997 0.03)39.27% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.39% (0.034999999999997 0.03)61.61% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
Hertha Berlin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.7% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)34.3% (0.013999999999996 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)71% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
RB Leipzig Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.37% (0.025000000000006 0.03)12.63% (-0.025 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.24% (0.052 0.05)38.76% (-0.053000000000004 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Hertha Berlin 18.89%
    RB Leipzig 60.37%
    Draw 20.73%
Hertha BerlinDrawRB Leipzig
2-1 @ 5.13% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-0 @ 4.64% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-0 @ 2.48% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.89% (-0.002 -0)
3-1 @ 1.83% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 18.89%
1-1 @ 9.59% (-0.011000000000001 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.31% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-0 @ 4.33% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.31%
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 20.73%
1-2 @ 9.92%
0-2 @ 9.27% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-1 @ 8.96% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-3 @ 6.84% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
0-3 @ 6.4% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-3 @ 3.66% (0.0020000000000002 0)
1-4 @ 3.54% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
0-4 @ 3.31% (0.008 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.89% (0.0029999999999999 0)
1-5 @ 1.47% (0.004 0)
0-5 @ 1.37% (0.004 0)
Other @ 3.73%
Total : 60.37%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Freiburg 1-1 Hertha Berlin
Saturday, April 1 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Hoffenheim 3-1 Hertha Berlin
Saturday, March 18 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Hertha Berlin 1-1 Mainz
Saturday, March 11 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: B. Leverkusen 4-1 Hertha Berlin
Sunday, March 5 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Hertha Berlin 2-0 Augsburg
Saturday, February 25 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Dortmund 4-1 Hertha Berlin
Sunday, February 19 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: RB Leipzig 2-0 Dortmund
Wednesday, April 5 at 7.45pm in DFB-Pokal
Last Game: RB Leipzig 0-3 Mainz
Saturday, April 1 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: VfL Bochum 1-0 RB Leipzig
Saturday, March 18 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Man City 7-0 RB Leipzig
Tuesday, March 14 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: RB Leipzig 3-0 Borussia M'bach
Saturday, March 11 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Dortmund 2-1 RB Leipzig
Friday, March 3 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga


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