SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a HJK Helsinki win with a probability of 60.37%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Oulu had a probability of 18.33%.
The most likely scoreline for a HJK Helsinki win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10%) and 2-1 (9.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.03%), while for a Oulu win it was 0-1 (5.05%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that HJK Helsinki would win this match.
| Result | ||
| HJK Helsinki | Draw | Oulu |
60.37% ( -0.09) | 21.3% ( 0.09) | 18.33% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 54.37% ( -0.31) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.23% ( -0.41) | 42.76% ( 0.41) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.83% ( -0.4) | 65.17% ( 0.4) |
| HJK Helsinki Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.26% ( -0.16) | 13.74% ( 0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.99% ( -0.31) | 41.01% ( 0.31) |
| Oulu Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.03% ( -0.24) | 36.96% ( 0.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.24% ( -0.24) | 73.75% ( 0.24) |
| Score Analysis |
| HJK Helsinki | Draw | Oulu |
| 1-0 @ 10.08% ( 0.12) 2-0 @ 10% ( 0.06)2-1 @ 9.96% 3-0 @ 6.62% ( 0)3-1 @ 6.59% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 3.29% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 3.28% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 3.27% ( -0.04)4-2 @ 1.63% ( -0.03)5-0 @ 1.3% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 1.3% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.05% Total : 60.36% | 1-1 @ 10.03% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 5.08% ( 0.09)2-2 @ 4.95% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.09% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.15% Total : 21.3% | 0-1 @ 5.05% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 4.99% ( -0)0-2 @ 2.51% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 1.66% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.64% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.48% Total : 18.33% |
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