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Bundesliga | Gameweek 32
May 3, 2024 at 7.30pm UK
Campo La Quinta
LL

Hoffenheim
1 - 1
RB Leipzig

Kramaric (90')
Kabak (69')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Sesko (38')
Simons (55'), Raum (86')
Simons (72')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: VfL Bochum 3-2 Hoffenheim
Friday, April 26 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: RB Leipzig 4-1 Dortmund
Saturday, April 27 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Hoffenheim 1-2 RB Leipzig

Friday's game has the potential to be high-scoring, with Hoffenheim failing to keep a clean sheet in 26 league matches and Leipzig conceding in 12 consecutive road games in the Bundesliga. Leipzig are backed to continue their fine form in a match they enter as favourites, having defeated Hoffenheim in five straight matches in all competitions, losing once in 13 previous games against Die Kraichgauer. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 50.98%. A win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 29.14% and a draw had a probability of 19.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (6.24%) and 2-3 (5.4%). The likeliest Hoffenheim win was 2-1 (6.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.

Result
HoffenheimDrawRB Leipzig
29.14% (0.571 0.57) 19.88% (-0.312 -0.31) 50.98% (-0.261 -0.26)
Both teams to score 74.08% (1.71 1.71)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
76.72% (1.981 1.98)23.27% (-1.984 -1.98)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
57.37% (2.624 2.62)42.63% (-2.626 -2.63)
Hoffenheim Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.29% (1.345 1.35)17.71% (-1.348 -1.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.63% (2.279 2.28)48.36% (-2.281 -2.28)
RB Leipzig Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.03% (0.614 0.61)9.97% (-0.616 -0.62)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
67.04% (1.402 1.4)32.95% (-1.405 -1.4)
Score Analysis
    Hoffenheim 29.14%
    RB Leipzig 50.98%
    Draw 19.88%
HoffenheimDrawRB Leipzig
2-1 @ 6.1% (-0.126 -0.13)
3-2 @ 4.06% (0.195 0.2)
3-1 @ 3.52% (0.079 0.08)
1-0 @ 3.06% (-0.288 -0.29)
2-0 @ 2.65% (-0.127 -0.13)
4-2 @ 1.76% (0.155 0.16)
3-0 @ 1.53% (-0.006 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.52% (0.097 0.1)
4-3 @ 1.35% (0.152 0.15)
Other @ 3.61%
Total : 29.14%
1-1 @ 7.05% (-0.463 -0.46)
2-2 @ 7.03% (0.042 0.04)
3-3 @ 3.12% (0.227 0.23)
0-0 @ 1.77% (-0.252 -0.25)
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 19.88%
1-2 @ 8.12% (-0.309 -0.31)
1-3 @ 6.24% (-0.069 -0.07)
2-3 @ 5.4% (0.172 0.17)
0-2 @ 4.69% (-0.394 -0.39)
0-1 @ 4.07% (-0.46 -0.46)
0-3 @ 3.61% (-0.201 -0.2)
1-4 @ 3.6% (0.055 0.06)
2-4 @ 3.12% (0.178 0.18)
0-4 @ 2.08% (-0.059 -0.06)
3-4 @ 1.8% (0.175 0.18)
1-5 @ 1.66% (0.068 0.07)
2-5 @ 1.44% (0.117 0.12)
0-5 @ 0.96% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 4.2%
Total : 50.98%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: VfL Bochum 3-2 Hoffenheim
Friday, April 26 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Hoffenheim 4-3 Borussia M'bach
Saturday, April 20 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Mainz 4-1 Hoffenheim
Saturday, April 13 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Hoffenheim 3-1 Augsburg
Sunday, April 7 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: B. Leverkusen 2-1 Hoffenheim
Saturday, March 30 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Hoffenheim 0-3 Stuttgart
Saturday, March 16 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: RB Leipzig 4-1 Dortmund
Saturday, April 27 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Heidenheim 1-2 RB Leipzig
Saturday, April 20 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: RB Leipzig 3-0 Wolfsburg
Saturday, April 13 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Freiburg 1-4 RB Leipzig
Saturday, April 6 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: RB Leipzig 0-0 Mainz
Saturday, March 30 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: FC Koln 1-5 RB Leipzig
Friday, March 15 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga


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