SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Honka win with a probability of 53.09%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Haka had a probability of 22.73%.
The most likely scoreline for a Honka win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.68%) and 2-0 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.49%), while for a Haka win it was 0-1 (6.83%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Honka | Draw | Haka |
53.09% ( -0.3) | 24.18% ( -0.01) | 22.73% ( 0.31) |
| Both teams to score 51.88% ( 0.41) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.58% ( 0.35) | 49.42% ( -0.35) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.54% ( 0.32) | 71.46% ( -0.32) |
| Honka Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.44% ( 0.02) | 18.55% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.19% ( 0.03) | 49.81% ( -0.04) |
| Haka Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.7% ( 0.49) | 36.3% ( -0.49) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.91% ( 0.49) | 73.08% ( -0.49) |
| Score Analysis |
| Honka | Draw | Haka |
| 1-0 @ 11.34% ( -0.16) 2-1 @ 9.68% ( 0)2-0 @ 9.56% ( -0.13)3-1 @ 5.44% ( 0)3-0 @ 5.37% ( -0.07)3-2 @ 2.76% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 2.29% ( 0)4-0 @ 2.26% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 1.16% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.24% Total : 53.09% | 1-1 @ 11.49% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.74% ( -0.1)2-2 @ 4.91% ( 0.06)3-3 @ 0.93% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.17% | 0-1 @ 6.83% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 5.83% ( 0.07)0-2 @ 3.46% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 1.97% ( 0.05)2-3 @ 1.66% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 1.17% ( 0.03)Other @ 1.82% Total : 22.73% |
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