Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Haka win with a probability of 36.48%. A win for Honka had a probability of 35.38% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Haka win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.77%) and 0-2 (6.73%). The likeliest Honka win was 1-0 (11.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.2%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.
