SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hull City win with a probability of 44.06%. A win for Burnley had a probability of 30.69% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hull City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.09%) and 2-0 (7.41%). The likeliest Burnley win was 0-1 (7.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 12% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Hull City | Draw | Burnley |
44.06% ( 0.16) | 25.25% ( 0.13) | 30.69% ( -0.28) |
| Both teams to score 55.22% ( -0.55) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.78% ( -0.66) | 48.22% ( 0.66) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.62% ( -0.61) | 70.38% ( 0.61) |
| Hull City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.13% ( -0.21) | 21.87% ( 0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.88% ( -0.31) | 55.12% ( 0.31) |
| Burnley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.68% ( -0.52) | 29.32% ( 0.52) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.7% ( -0.65) | 65.3% ( 0.65) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hull City | Draw | Burnley |
| 1-0 @ 9.75% ( 0.21) 2-1 @ 9.09% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 7.41% ( 0.11)3-1 @ 4.61% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 3.75% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 2.83% ( -0.06)4-1 @ 1.75% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 1.43% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.07% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.38% Total : 44.06% | 1-1 @ 11.95% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 6.41% ( 0.17)2-2 @ 5.58% ( -0.08)3-3 @ 1.16% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.24% | 0-1 @ 7.87% ( 0.1) 1-2 @ 7.34% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 4.83% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 3% ( -0.07)2-3 @ 2.28% ( -0.07)0-3 @ 1.97% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 0.92% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.49% Total : 30.69% |
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