SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 38.14%. A win for Hull City had a probability of 35.87% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.39%) and 0-2 (6.4%). The likeliest Hull City win was 1-0 (9.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.34%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Hull City | Draw | Swansea City |
35.87% ( 0.3) | 25.99% ( 0.07) | 38.14% ( -0.37) |
| Both teams to score 54.23% ( -0.22) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.84% ( -0.3) | 50.15% ( 0.3) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.88% ( -0.26) | 72.12% ( 0.26) |
| Hull City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73% ( 0.03) | 27% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.65% ( 0.04) | 62.35% ( -0.04) |
| Swansea City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.29% ( -0.34) | 25.71% ( 0.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.37% ( -0.46) | 60.63% ( 0.46) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hull City | Draw | Swansea City |
| 1-0 @ 9.09% ( 0.12) 2-1 @ 8.08% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 5.95% ( 0.08)3-1 @ 3.53% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 2.6% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 2.4% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.16% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.07% Total : 35.87% | 1-1 @ 12.34% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 6.94% ( 0.08)2-2 @ 5.49% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.09% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.98% | 0-1 @ 9.43% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 8.39% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 6.4% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 3.8% ( -0.06)0-3 @ 2.9% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 2.49% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 1.29% ( -0.03)0-4 @ 0.99% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.47% Total : 38.14% |
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