SM
| Current Group G Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Hungary | 8 | 9 | 18 |
| 2 | Serbia | 8 | 6 | 14 |
| 3 | Montenegro | 8 | -2 | 11 |
| 4 | Lithuania | 8 | -6 | 6 |
| 5 | Bulgaria | 8 | -7 | 4 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hungary win with a probability of 45.57%. A win for Turkey had a probability of 28.48% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hungary win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.11%) and 2-0 (8.21%). The likeliest Turkey win was 0-1 (8.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Hungary in this match.
| Result | ||
| Hungary | Draw | Turkey |
45.57% ( -0.14) | 25.96% ( 0.07) | 28.48% ( 0.07) |
| Both teams to score 51.7% ( -0.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.77% ( -0.25) | 52.23% ( 0.25) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.07% ( -0.22) | 73.93% ( 0.22) |
| Hungary Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.13% ( -0.17) | 22.87% ( 0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.39% ( -0.26) | 56.61% ( 0.26) |
| Turkey Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.03% ( -0.08) | 32.97% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.44% ( -0.08) | 69.56% ( 0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hungary | Draw | Turkey |
| 1-0 @ 11.12% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 9.11% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 8.21% ( -0)3-1 @ 4.48% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 4.04% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.48% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.65% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 1.49% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 0.92% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.07% Total : 45.56% | 1-1 @ 12.34% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 7.54% ( 0.08)2-2 @ 5.05% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 0.92% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.95% | 0-1 @ 8.37% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 6.85% ( 0)0-2 @ 4.64% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 2.53% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.87% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.72% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.51% Total : 28.48% |
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