Current Group J Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Portugal | 3 | 13 | 9 |
2 | Slovakia | 3 | 3 | 7 |
3 | Luxembourg | 3 | -4 | 4 |
4 | Iceland | 3 | 3 | 3 |
5 | Bosnia-Herzegovina | 3 | -2 | 3 |
6 | Liechtenstein | 3 | -13 | 0 |
Current Group J Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Portugal | 3 | 13 | 9 |
2 | Slovakia | 3 | 3 | 7 |
3 | Luxembourg | 3 | -4 | 4 |
4 | Iceland | 3 | 3 | 3 |
5 | Bosnia-Herzegovina | 3 | -2 | 3 |
6 | Liechtenstein | 3 | -13 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portugal win with a probability of 71.21%. A draw had a probability of 18.4% and a win for Iceland had a probability of 10.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portugal win was 0-2 with a probability of 13.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (12.9%) and 0-3 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.67%), while for a Iceland win it was 1-0 (4.07%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Portugal would win this match.
Result | ||
Iceland | Draw | Portugal |
10.42% (![]() | 18.37% (![]() | 71.21% (![]() |
Both teams to score 43.13% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.18% (![]() | 46.83% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.92% (![]() | 69.08% (![]() |
Iceland Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
48.92% (![]() | 51.08% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
14.61% (![]() | 85.39% (![]() |
Portugal Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.16% (![]() | 11.84% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
62.89% (![]() | 37.11% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Iceland | Draw | Portugal |
1-0 @ 4.07% (![]() 2-1 @ 2.91% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 1.37% ( ![]() Other @ 2.08% Total : 10.42% | 1-1 @ 8.67% (![]() 0-0 @ 6.05% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 3.11% ( ![]() Other @ 0.54% Total : 18.37% | 0-2 @ 13.76% (![]() 0-1 @ 12.9% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 9.79% ( ![]() 1-2 @ 9.25% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 6.58% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 5.22% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 3.51% ( ![]() 0-5 @ 2.23% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.21% ( ![]() 1-5 @ 1.5% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.18% ( ![]() Other @ 3.08% Total : 71.2% |
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