SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a KuPS win with a probability of 40.22%. A win for Ilves had a probability of 34.06% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a KuPS win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.66%) and 0-2 (6.74%). The likeliest Ilves win was 1-0 (8.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Ilves | Draw | KuPS |
34.06% ( -1.59) | 25.73% ( 0.11) | 40.22% ( 1.49) |
| Both teams to score 54.84% ( -0.62) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.75% ( -0.69) | 49.25% ( 0.69) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.69% ( -0.62) | 71.31% ( 0.63) |
| Ilves Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.35% ( -1.28) | 27.66% ( 1.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.8% ( -1.68) | 63.21% ( 1.68) |
| KuPS Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.81% ( 0.47) | 24.19% ( -0.47) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.48% ( 0.66) | 58.52% ( -0.66) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ilves | Draw | KuPS |
| 1-0 @ 8.6% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 7.84% ( -0.24)2-0 @ 5.53% ( -0.25)3-1 @ 3.36% ( -0.23)3-2 @ 2.39% ( -0.13)3-0 @ 2.37% ( -0.2)4-1 @ 1.08% ( -0.12)Other @ 2.9% Total : 34.06% | 1-1 @ 12.2% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 6.69% ( 0.19)2-2 @ 5.57% ( -0.1)3-3 @ 1.13% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.72% | 0-1 @ 9.5% ( 0.39) 1-2 @ 8.66% ( 0.17)0-2 @ 6.74% ( 0.36)1-3 @ 4.1% ( 0.13)0-3 @ 3.19% ( 0.21)2-3 @ 2.63% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.45% ( 0.07)0-4 @ 1.13% ( 0.09)2-4 @ 0.93% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.89% Total : 40.22% |
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