SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ilves win with a probability of 47.06%. A win for Oulu had a probability of 27.26% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ilves win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.24%) and 2-0 (8.5%). The likeliest Oulu win was 0-1 (8.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.21%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ilves would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Ilves | Draw | Oulu |
47.06% ( 0.02) | 25.69% ( 0.01) | 27.26% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 51.67% ( -0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.14% ( -0.08) | 51.86% ( 0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.39% ( -0.07) | 73.61% ( 0.06) |
| Ilves Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.96% ( -0.03) | 22.03% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.64% ( -0.04) | 55.36% ( 0.03) |
| Oulu Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.27% ( -0.07) | 33.73% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.61% ( -0.08) | 70.38% ( 0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ilves | Draw | Oulu |
| 1-0 @ 11.24% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 9.24% ( -0)2-0 @ 8.5% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 4.66% ( -0)3-0 @ 4.29% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.53% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.76% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.62% ( 0)4-2 @ 0.96% ( -0)Other @ 2.26% Total : 47.06% | 1-1 @ 12.21% 0-0 @ 7.43% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 5.02% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 0.92% ( -0)Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.68% | 0-1 @ 8.08% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 6.64% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 4.39% ( -0)1-3 @ 2.41% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.82% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.59% ( -0)Other @ 2.34% Total : 27.26% |
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