SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Racing Club win with a probability of 39.67%. A win for Independiente had a probability of 32.49% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Racing Club win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.21%) and 0-2 (7.42%). The likeliest Independiente win was 1-0 (10.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Independiente | Draw | Racing Club |
32.49% ( -0.16) | 27.84% ( 0.05) | 39.67% ( 0.1) |
| Both teams to score 47.81% ( -0.2) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.97% ( -0.23) | 58.02% ( 0.22) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.29% ( -0.18) | 78.71% ( 0.17) |
| Independiente Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.92% ( -0.23) | 33.08% ( 0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.33% ( -0.25) | 69.67% ( 0.25) |
| Racing Club Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.45% ( -0.05) | 28.55% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.66% ( -0.06) | 64.34% ( 0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Independiente | Draw | Racing Club |
| 1-0 @ 10.44% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 7.25% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 5.78% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 2.67% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 2.13% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 1.67% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.54% Total : 32.48% | 1-1 @ 13.09% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 9.44% ( 0.08)2-2 @ 4.54% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.76% Total : 27.84% | 0-1 @ 11.83% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 8.21% ( -0)0-2 @ 7.42% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 3.43% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 3.1% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.9% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.08% ( -0)0-4 @ 0.97% ( 0)Other @ 1.73% Total : 39.66% |
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