SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Racing Club | 14 | 15 | 30 |
| 2 | Estudiantes | 13 | 15 | 28 |
| 3 | River Plate | 13 | 18 | 26 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 19 | Arsenal Sarandi | 12 | 0 | 13 |
| 20 | Independiente | 13 | -4 | 13 |
| 21 | Velez Sarsfield | 12 | -2 | 12 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Racing Club win with a probability of 55.12%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Independiente had a probability of 20.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a Racing Club win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.63%) and 2-1 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.58%), while for a Independiente win it was 0-1 (7.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Racing Club in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Racing Club.
| Result | ||
| Racing Club | Draw | Independiente |
55.12% ( 0.16) | 24.46% ( -0.06) | 20.42% ( -0.1) |
| Both teams to score 47.98% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.97% ( 0.1) | 53.03% ( -0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.38% ( 0.09) | 74.62% ( -0.09) |
| Racing Club Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.85% ( 0.1) | 19.15% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.2% ( 0.17) | 50.8% ( -0.17) |
| Independiente Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.34% ( -0.05) | 40.65% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.75% ( -0.04) | 77.25% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Racing Club | Draw | Independiente |
| 1-0 @ 12.86% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 10.63% ( 0.02)2-1 @ 9.57% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 5.86% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 5.27% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 2.42% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.37% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.18% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 0.98% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.96% Total : 55.11% | 1-1 @ 11.58% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 7.78% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 4.31% ( -0)Other @ 0.78% Total : 24.45% | 0-1 @ 7.01% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 5.21% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 3.15% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 1.56% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.29% ( -0)0-3 @ 0.95% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.25% Total : 20.42% |
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