SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente del Valle win with a probability of 69.48%. A draw had a probability of 17.7% and a win for Liverpool had a probability of 12.83%.
The most likely scoreline for a Independiente del Valle win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.65%) and 1-0 (9.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.26%), while for a Liverpool win it was 1-2 (3.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Independiente del Valle would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Independiente del Valle | Draw | Liverpool |
69.48% ( -1.41) | 17.69% ( 0.53) | 12.83% ( 0.88) |
| Both teams to score 53.63% ( 0.93) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.81% ( -0.2) | 37.19% ( 0.2) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.61% ( -0.22) | 59.39% ( 0.22) |
| Independiente del Valle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.35% ( -0.38) | 9.65% ( 0.38) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 67.79% ( -0.91) | 32.21% ( 0.9) |
| Liverpool Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.36% ( 1.27) | 40.64% ( -1.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.76% ( 1.13) | 77.23% ( -1.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| Independiente del Valle | Draw | Liverpool |
| 2-0 @ 10.72% ( -0.26) 2-1 @ 9.65% ( 0.1)1-0 @ 9.17% ( -0.07)3-0 @ 8.36% ( -0.36)3-1 @ 7.52% ( -0.05)4-0 @ 4.89% ( -0.3)4-1 @ 4.4% ( -0.11)3-2 @ 3.39% ( 0.09)5-0 @ 2.29% ( -0.18)5-1 @ 2.06% ( -0.09)4-2 @ 1.98% ( 0.02)5-2 @ 0.93% ( -0.01)Other @ 4.14% Total : 69.48% | 1-1 @ 8.26% ( 0.22) 2-2 @ 4.35% ( 0.19)0-0 @ 3.92% ( 0.04)3-3 @ 1.02% ( 0.06)Other @ 0.15% Total : 17.69% | 1-2 @ 3.72% ( 0.23) 0-1 @ 3.53% ( 0.15)0-2 @ 1.59% ( 0.12)2-3 @ 1.3% ( 0.1)1-3 @ 1.12% ( 0.1)Other @ 1.57% Total : 12.83% |
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