SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Miami win with a probability of 55.55%. A win for New York Red Bulls had a probability of 22.73% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Miami win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.28%) and 2-0 (8.19%). The likeliest New York Red Bulls win was 1-2 (5.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.9%). The actual scoreline of 6-2 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Miami would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Inter Miami | Draw | New York Red Bulls |
55.55% ( 5.17) | 21.72% ( -1.96) | 22.73% ( -3.22) |
| Both teams to score 60.1% ( 3.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.46% ( 5.74) | 38.53% ( -5.74) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.17% ( 5.82) | 60.83% ( -5.82) |
| Inter Miami Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.17% ( 3.83) | 13.83% ( -3.83) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.81% ( 7.08) | 41.18% ( -7.08) |
| New York Red Bulls Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.74% ( 0.49) | 30.25% ( -0.49) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.57% ( 0.58) | 66.42% ( -0.58) |
| Score Analysis |
| Inter Miami | Draw | New York Red Bulls |
| 2-1 @ 9.79% ( 0.16) 1-0 @ 8.28% ( -1.14)2-0 @ 8.19% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 6.46% ( 0.89)3-0 @ 5.4% ( 0.68)3-2 @ 3.86% ( 0.58)4-1 @ 3.19% ( 0.78)4-0 @ 2.67% ( 0.63)4-2 @ 1.91% ( 0.49)5-1 @ 1.26% ( 0.43)5-0 @ 1.06% ( 0.35)Other @ 3.48% Total : 55.55% | 1-1 @ 9.9% ( -1.21) 2-2 @ 5.85% ( 0.18)0-0 @ 4.18% ( -1.24)3-3 @ 1.54% ( 0.25)Other @ 0.25% Total : 21.72% | 1-2 @ 5.92% ( -0.63) 0-1 @ 5% ( -1.4)0-2 @ 2.99% ( -0.79)1-3 @ 2.36% ( -0.22)2-3 @ 2.33% ( 0.1)0-3 @ 1.19% ( -0.29)Other @ 2.95% Total : 22.73% |
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