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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Miami win with a probability of 44.64%. A win for Sporting Kansas City had a probability of 30.94% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Miami win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.79%) and 2-0 (7.06%). The likeliest Sporting Kansas City win was 1-2 (7.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.41%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Inter Miami would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Inter Miami | Draw | Sporting Kansas City |
44.64% ( 0.39) | 24.42% ( -0.01) | 30.94% ( -0.38) |
| Both teams to score 58.15% ( -0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.56% ( -0.11) | 44.44% ( 0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.19% ( -0.1) | 66.81% ( 0.1) |
| Inter Miami Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.96% ( 0.13) | 20.04% ( -0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.75% ( 0.2) | 52.25% ( -0.2) |
| Sporting Kansas City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.73% ( -0.3) | 27.27% ( 0.3) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.29% ( -0.39) | 62.71% ( 0.39) |
| Score Analysis |
| Inter Miami | Draw | Sporting Kansas City |
| 2-1 @ 9.17% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 8.79% ( 0.07)2-0 @ 7.06% ( 0.09)3-1 @ 4.92% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 3.78% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 3.19% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.98% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.52% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 1.28% ( 0)Other @ 2.95% Total : 44.64% | 1-1 @ 11.41% 2-2 @ 5.96% ( -0.03)0-0 @ 5.47% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.38% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.42% | 1-2 @ 7.42% ( -0.06) 0-1 @ 7.1% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 4.61% ( -0.06)1-3 @ 3.21% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 2.58% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 2% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 1.04% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.98% Total : 30.94% |
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