SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Miami win with a probability of 53.56%. A win for Toronto had a probability of 24.35% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Miami win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.05%) and 2-0 (7.8%). The likeliest Toronto win was 1-2 (6.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.01%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Miami would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Inter Miami | Draw | Toronto |
53.56% ( 0.14) | 22.08% ( 0.03) | 24.35% ( -0.17) |
| Both teams to score 60.89% ( -0.3) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.59% ( -0.31) | 38.4% ( 0.31) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.3% ( -0.33) | 60.69% ( 0.32) |
| Inter Miami Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.58% ( -0.06) | 14.41% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.67% ( -0.12) | 42.33% ( 0.12) |
| Toronto Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.15% ( -0.3) | 28.85% ( 0.3) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.29% ( -0.37) | 64.71% ( 0.37) |
| Score Analysis |
| Inter Miami | Draw | Toronto |
| 2-1 @ 9.7% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 8.05% ( 0.1)2-0 @ 7.8% ( 0.08)3-1 @ 6.26% ( -0)3-0 @ 5.04% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 3.89% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 3.03% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 2.44% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.89% ( -0.02)5-1 @ 1.18% ( -0)5-0 @ 0.95% ( 0)Other @ 3.34% Total : 53.56% | 1-1 @ 10.01% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 6.03% ( -0.04)0-0 @ 4.16% ( 0.06)3-3 @ 1.61% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.27% Total : 22.08% | 1-2 @ 6.22% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 5.17% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 3.21% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.58% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 2.5% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 1.33% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.35% Total : 24.36% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
