SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 54.47%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Atalanta BC had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.83%) and 2-0 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.85%), while for an Atalanta BC win it was 0-1 (5.99%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Inter Milan | Draw | Atalanta BC |
54.47% ( -0.11) | 23.02% ( 0) | 22.5% ( 0.1) |
| Both teams to score 55.28% ( 0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.23% ( 0.1) | 44.76% ( -0.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.87% ( 0.1) | 67.12% ( -0.1) |
| Inter Milan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.66% ( -0) | 16.34% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.06% ( -0) | 45.94% ( -0) |
| Atalanta BC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.08% ( 0.15) | 33.92% ( -0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.41% ( 0.16) | 70.59% ( -0.17) |
| Score Analysis |
| Inter Milan | Draw | Atalanta BC |
| 1-0 @ 10.04% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 9.83% ( -0)2-0 @ 9.09% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 5.94% ( -0)3-0 @ 5.49% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 3.21% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.69% ( -0)4-0 @ 2.49% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.45% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 0.97% ( -0)5-0 @ 0.9% ( -0)Other @ 2.36% Total : 54.47% | 1-1 @ 10.85% 0-0 @ 5.54% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 5.32% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.16% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.15% Total : 23.02% | 0-1 @ 5.99% ( -0) 1-2 @ 5.87% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 3.24% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.12% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.92% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 1.17% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.21% Total : 22.5% |
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