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Coppa Italia | Quarter-Finals
Jan 31, 2023 at 8pm UK
San Siro
AL

Inter Milan
1 - 0
Atalanta

Darmian (57')
Gosens (32'), Martinez (82'), Correa (90+1'), Onana (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Soppy (90')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Atalanta 2-0 Sampdoria
Saturday, January 28 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: Inter Milan 3-2 Atalanta BC (after extra time)

Atalanta are in a free-scoring mood, and we expect them to continue their impressive form in front of goal against Inter. However, after conceding at least two goals in each of their last three competitive away games, they may struggle to keep Inter at bay, and although we an entertaining game will finish level after 90 minutes, we believe that the hosts will edge out Atalanta in extra time. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 49.41%. A win for Atalanta BC had a probability of 26.44% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.56%) and 2-0 (8.22%). The likeliest Atalanta BC win was 0-1 (6.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Inter Milan in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Inter Milan.

Result
Inter MilanDrawAtalanta BC
49.41% (-0.046000000000006 -0.05) 24.15% (0.00099999999999767 0) 26.44% (0.044 0.04)
Both teams to score 55.9% (0.041000000000004 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.02% (0.030999999999999 0.03)45.97% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.72% (0.030999999999999 0.03)68.28% (-0.034000000000006 -0.03)
Inter Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.33% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)18.67% (0.0040000000000013 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.99% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)50% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Atalanta BC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.74% (0.054000000000002 0.05)31.26% (-0.056999999999999 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.39% (0.064 0.06)67.61% (-0.064999999999998 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Inter Milan 49.41%
    Atalanta BC 26.44%
    Draw 24.15%
Inter MilanDrawAtalanta BC
1-0 @ 9.79% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.56% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 8.22% (-0.014000000000001 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.35% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 4.6% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.11% (0.004 0)
4-1 @ 2.24% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-0 @ 1.93% (-0.004 -0)
4-2 @ 1.3% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.31%
Total : 49.41%
1-1 @ 11.39%
0-0 @ 5.84% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.56% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.21% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 24.15%
0-1 @ 6.79%
1-2 @ 6.62% (0.008 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.95% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.57% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.15% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.53% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 26.44%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Cremonese 1-2 Inter Milan
Saturday, January 28 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Inter Milan 0-1 Empoli
Monday, January 23 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: AC Milan 0-3 Inter Milan
Wednesday, January 18 at 7pm in Supercoppa Italiana
Last Game: Inter Milan 1-0 Hellas Verona
Saturday, January 14 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Inter Milan 2-1 Parma
Tuesday, January 10 at 8pm in Coppa Italia
Last Game: Monza 2-2 Inter Milan
Saturday, January 7 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Atalanta 2-0 Sampdoria
Saturday, January 28 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Juventus 3-3 Atalanta
Sunday, January 22 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Atalanta 5-2 Spezia
Thursday, January 19 at 2pm in Coppa Italia
Last Game: Atalanta 8-2 Salernitana
Sunday, January 15 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Bologna 1-2 Atalanta
Monday, January 9 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Spezia 2-2 Atalanta
Wednesday, January 4 at 1.30pm in Serie A


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