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Serie A | Gameweek 17
Dec 23, 2023 at 5pm UK
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
LL

Inter Milan
2 - 0
Lecce

Aurel Bisseck (43'), Barella (78')
Inzaghi (16'), Calhanoglu (30')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Gonzalez (15'), Piccoli (64'), Pongracic (74')
Banda (83')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Inter Milan 1-2 Bologna
Wednesday, December 20 at 8pm in Coppa Italia
Last Game: Lecce 2-1 Frosinone
Saturday, December 16 at 2pm in Serie A

We said: Inter Milan 3-1 Lecce

Despite Lecce's scoring run on their travels and Martinez's potential absence for Inter, the Nerazzurri should secure a comfortable triumph on home turf in this year's final game at San Siro. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 71.62%. A draw had a probability of 18.9% and a win for Lecce had a probability of 9.47%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 2-0 with a probability of 15.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (14.93%) and 3-0 (10.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.65%), while for a Lecce win it was 0-1 (4.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 15.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Inter Milan in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Inter Milan.

Result
Inter MilanDrawLecce
71.62% (0.199 0.2) 18.91% (-0.111 -0.11) 9.47% (-0.09 -0.09)
Both teams to score 38.2% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.4% (0.189 0.19)51.59% (-0.191 -0.19)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.61% (0.167 0.17)73.38% (-0.166 -0.17)
Inter Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.87% (0.116 0.12)13.13% (-0.116 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.22% (0.235 0.23)39.78% (-0.237 -0.24)
Lecce Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
43.97% (-0.07 -0.07)56.03% (0.069000000000003 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
11.51% (-0.041 -0.04)88.49% (0.040000000000006 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Inter Milan 71.61%
    Lecce 9.47%
    Draw 18.91%
Inter MilanDrawLecce
2-0 @ 15.16% (0.02 0.02)
1-0 @ 14.93% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
3-0 @ 10.26% (0.06 0.06)
2-1 @ 8.78% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.95% (0.02 0.02)
4-0 @ 5.21% (0.051 0.05)
4-1 @ 3.02% (0.023 0.02)
5-0 @ 2.12% (0.03 0.03)
3-2 @ 1.72% (0.002 0)
5-1 @ 1.23% (0.015 0.01)
Other @ 3.24%
Total : 71.61%
1-1 @ 8.65% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
0-0 @ 7.35% (-0.056 -0.06)
2-2 @ 2.54% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 0.36%
Total : 18.91%
0-1 @ 4.26% (-0.042 -0.04)
1-2 @ 2.51% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-2 @ 1.23% (-0.015 -0.02)
Other @ 1.47%
Total : 9.47%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Inter Milan 1-2 Bologna
Wednesday, December 20 at 8pm in Coppa Italia
Last Game: Lazio 0-2 Inter Milan
Sunday, December 17 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Inter Milan 0-0 Real Sociedad
Tuesday, December 12 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Inter Milan 4-0 Udinese
Saturday, December 9 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Napoli 0-3 Inter Milan
Sunday, December 3 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Benfica 3-3 Inter Milan
Wednesday, November 29 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Lecce 2-1 Frosinone
Saturday, December 16 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Empoli 1-1 Lecce
Monday, December 11 at 5.30pm in Serie A
Last Game: Lecce 1-1 Bologna
Sunday, December 3 at 11.30am in Serie A
Last Game: Hellas Verona 2-2 Lecce
Monday, November 27 at 5.30pm in Serie A
Last Game: Lecce 2-2 AC Milan
Saturday, November 11 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Roma 2-1 Lecce
Sunday, November 5 at 5pm in Serie A


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