Torino have lost their last four Serie A games against Inter without scoring a single goal, but their form this season suggests they can at least improve on that grim trend.
The champions have started their title defence unconvincingly, but Toro are beginning to leak goals and could be caught out on more than one occasion.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 64.33%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Torino had a probability of 14.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.87%) and 2-1 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.91%), while for a Torino win it was 0-1 (5.02%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.
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