Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Internacional win with a probability of 60.71%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Bahia had a probability of 16.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Internacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.86%) and 2-1 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.74%), while for a Bahia win it was 0-1 (5.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Internacional would win this match.