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Brasileiro | Gameweek 21
Aug 4, 2024 at 9pm UK
Estadio Jose Pinheiro Borda
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Internacional
1 - 1
Palmeiras

Henrique (31')
Carvalho Teixeira (45+2'), Borre (45+6')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Rony (89')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Flamengo 2-0 Palmeiras
Thursday, August 1 at 12am in Copa do Brasil

We said: Internacional 1-1 Palmeiras

Both these sides are desperately looking to get back in the win column, but given their recent form, it is difficult to make a convincing case for either to secure the points here. Given their recent records, we feel they will be fairly content settling for a point apiece in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Internacional win with a probability of 39.61%. A win for Palmeiras had a probability of 33.04% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Internacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.32%) and 2-0 (7.24%). The likeliest Palmeiras win was 0-1 (10.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
InternacionalDrawPalmeiras
39.61% (-1.671 -1.67) 27.35% (0.0090000000000003 0.01) 33.04% (1.672 1.67)
Both teams to score 49.42% (0.476 0.48)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.94% (0.372 0.37)56.06% (-0.363 -0.36)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.86% (0.301 0.3)77.14% (-0.292 -0.29)
Internacional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.35% (-0.74600000000001 -0.75)27.65% (0.754 0.75)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.81% (-0.97000000000001 -0.97)63.19% (0.97799999999999 0.98)
Palmeiras Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.31% (1.353 1.35)31.69% (-1.344 -1.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.89% (1.522 1.52)68.11% (-1.513 -1.51)
Score Analysis
    Internacional 39.61%
    Palmeiras 33.03%
    Draw 27.34%
InternacionalDrawPalmeiras
1-0 @ 11.26% (-0.4 -0.4)
2-1 @ 8.32% (-0.164 -0.16)
2-0 @ 7.24% (-0.421 -0.42)
3-1 @ 3.57% (-0.148 -0.15)
3-0 @ 3.1% (-0.25 -0.25)
3-2 @ 2.05% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.15% (-0.073 -0.07)
4-0 @ 1% (-0.104 -0.1)
Other @ 1.93%
Total : 39.61%
1-1 @ 12.94% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 8.76% (-0.123 -0.12)
2-2 @ 4.78% (0.082 0.08)
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 27.34%
0-1 @ 10.06% (0.219 0.22)
1-2 @ 7.44% (0.281 0.28)
0-2 @ 5.79% (0.335 0.34)
1-3 @ 2.85% (0.206 0.21)
0-3 @ 2.22% (0.204 0.2)
2-3 @ 1.83% (0.096 0.1)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 33.03%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Bahia 1-1 Internacional
Sunday, July 28 at 12am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Internacional 1-1 Rosario
Wednesday, July 24 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Botafogo 1-0 Internacional
Saturday, July 20 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Rosario 1-0 Internacional
Wednesday, July 17 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Juventude 1-1 Internacional
Saturday, July 13 at 9.15pm in Copa do Brasil
Last Game: Internacional 1-2 Juventude
Wednesday, July 10 at 11pm in Copa do Brasil
Last Game: Flamengo 2-0 Palmeiras
Thursday, August 1 at 12am in Copa do Brasil
Last Game: Palmeiras 0-2 Vitoria
Saturday, July 27 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Fluminense 1-0 Palmeiras
Thursday, July 25 at 1.30am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Palmeiras 2-0 Cruzeiro
Sunday, July 21 at 1am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Botafogo 1-0 Palmeiras
Thursday, July 18 at 1.30am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Palmeiras 3-1 Atletico GO
Thursday, July 11 at 11.30pm in Brasileiro


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