SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win with a probability of 69.2%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for Arbroath had a probability of 12.22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.15%) and 2-1 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.83%), while for an Arbroath win it was 0-1 (4.05%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Inverness Caledonian Thistle would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Inverness Caledonian Thistle | Draw | Arbroath |
69.2% ( 2.07) | 18.57% ( -0.96) | 12.22% ( -1.1) |
| Both teams to score 48.5% ( -0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.07% ( 1.64) | 42.93% ( -1.64) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.67% ( 1.61) | 65.33% ( -1.61) |
| Inverness Caledonian Thistle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.71% ( 1.04) | 11.28% ( -1.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 64.09% ( 2.22) | 35.9% ( -2.22) |
| Arbroath Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.67% ( -0.72) | 45.33% ( 0.72) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.81% ( -0.58) | 81.19% ( 0.58) |
| Score Analysis |
| Inverness Caledonian Thistle | Draw | Arbroath |
| 2-0 @ 12.17% ( 0.13) 1-0 @ 11.15% ( -0.35)2-1 @ 9.63% ( -0.09)3-0 @ 8.85% ( 0.45)3-1 @ 7.01% ( 0.22)4-0 @ 4.83% ( 0.43)4-1 @ 3.82% ( 0.27)3-2 @ 2.77% ( 0.03)5-0 @ 2.11% ( 0.26)5-1 @ 1.67% ( 0.18)4-2 @ 1.51% ( 0.08)Other @ 3.67% Total : 69.19% | 1-1 @ 8.83% ( -0.46) 0-0 @ 5.12% ( -0.38)2-2 @ 3.81% ( -0.12)Other @ 0.82% Total : 18.57% | 0-1 @ 4.05% ( -0.39) 1-2 @ 3.49% ( -0.26)0-2 @ 1.6% ( -0.19)2-3 @ 1.01% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 0.92% ( -0.09)Other @ 1.16% Total : 12.22% |
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