The Lions of Mesopotamia will be brimming with confidence after their group performances, and we believe their attacking quality will overpower Jordan and send them into the quarter-finals for the first time since 2015. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Iraq win with a probability of 47.65%. A win for Jordan had a probability of 26.96% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Iraq win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.32%) and 2-0 (8.5%). The likeliest Jordan win was 0-1 (7.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.

Result
Iraq	Draw	Jordan
47.65% ( -0.32)	25.38% ( -0.06)	26.96% ( 0.38)

Both teams to score 52.38% (

0.51)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.18% (

0.52)

50.81% (

-0.52)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.3% (

0.46)

72.7% (

-0.46)

Iraq Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.66% (

0.07)

21.34% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.7% (

0.11)

54.3% (

-0.12)

Jordan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.59% (

0.59)

33.41% (

-0.59)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.97% (

0.64)

70.03% (

-0.64)

Score Analysis

Iraq 47.65%

Jordan 26.96%

Draw 25.38%

Iraq	Draw	Jordan
1-0 @ 11.01% ( -0.2) 2-1 @ 9.32% ( -0) 2-0 @ 8.5% ( -0.14) 3-1 @ 4.8% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 4.38% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 2.63% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 1.85% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.69% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.02% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.44% Total : 47.65%	1-1 @ 12.07% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 7.13% ( -0.15) 2-2 @ 5.11% ( 0.08) 3-3 @ 0.96% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.38%	0-1 @ 7.82% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 6.62% ( 0.09) 0-2 @ 4.28% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 2.42% ( 0.07) 2-3 @ 1.87% ( 0.06) 0-3 @ 1.57% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.39% Total : 26.96%