Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 14
Nov 3, 2023 at 7.30pm UK
Stadion Miejski
Normann Hansen (19'), Wdowik (23' pen., 83'), Matras (79' og.)
Marczuk (50')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between Jagiellonia Bialystok and Stal Mielec.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jagiellonia Bialystok win with a probability of 54.8%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Stal Mielec had a probability of 22.09%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jagiellonia Bialystok win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.84%) and 2-0 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.93%), while for a Stal Mielec win it was 0-1 (6.07%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Jagiellonia Bialystok would win this match.
| Result |
| Jagiellonia Bialystok | Draw | Stal Mielec |
| 54.8% | 23.11% | 22.09% |
Both teams to score 54.44% ( -0.01) |
| 54.38% ( -0) | 45.62% ( 0) |
| 32.06% ( -0.01) | 67.94% ( 0) |
| Jagiellonia Bialystok Goals |
| 83.47% ( -0) | 16.53% ( 0) |
