Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roda JC win with a probability of 51.67%. A win for Jong Ajax had a probability of 26.46% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roda JC win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.06%) and 0-2 (6.95%). The likeliest Jong Ajax win was 2-1 (6.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood.

Result
Jong Ajax	Draw	Roda JC
26.46% ( -0.36)	21.88% ( -0)	51.67% ( 0.36)

Both teams to score 63.93% (

-0.33)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

64.6% (

-0.29)

35.4% (

0.29)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

42.57% (

-0.32)

57.43% (

0.33)

Jong Ajax Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.32% (

-0.4)

25.68% (

0.4)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.41% (

-0.55)

60.6% (

0.55)

Roda JC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.03% (

0.02)

13.97% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.53% (

0.03)

41.47% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

Jong Ajax 26.46%

Roda JC 51.67%

Draw 21.88%

Jong Ajax	Draw	Roda JC
2-1 @ 6.53% ( -0.05) 1-0 @ 4.88% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 3.32% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 2.96% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 2.91% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 1.5% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.01% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 0.99% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.38% Total : 26.46%	1-1 @ 9.6% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 6.42% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 3.59% ( 0.05) 3-3 @ 1.91% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.36% Total : 21.88%	1-2 @ 9.45% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 7.06% ( 0.11) 0-2 @ 6.95% ( 0.11) 1-3 @ 6.2% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 4.56% ( 0.07) 2-3 @ 4.21% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 3.05% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 2.24% ( 0.04) 2-4 @ 2.07% ( -0.01) 1-5 @ 1.2% ( 0.01) 3-4 @ 0.94% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.74% Total : 51.67%