Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a ADO Den Haag win with a probability of 47.2%. A win for Jong AZ had a probability of 30.79% and a draw had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for an ADO Den Haag win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.09%) and 0-2 (5.87%). The likeliest Jong AZ win was 2-1 (7.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.3%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.
0.02) 
-0.02) 
