SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Telstar win with a probability of 49.02%. A win for Jong FC Utrecht had a probability of 26.84% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Telstar win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.53%) and 0-2 (8.09%). The likeliest Jong FC Utrecht win was 1-0 (6.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Jong FC Utrecht | Draw | Telstar |
26.84% ( -0.09) | 24.14% ( -0.06) | 49.02% ( 0.15) |
| Both teams to score 56.3% ( 0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.38% ( 0.2) | 45.62% ( -0.21) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.06% ( 0.19) | 67.94% ( -0.2) |
| Jong FC Utrecht Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.24% ( 0.04) | 30.76% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.97% ( 0.05) | 67.03% ( -0.05) |
| Telstar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.31% ( 0.14) | 18.69% ( -0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.97% ( 0.23) | 50.03% ( -0.23) |
| Score Analysis |
| Jong FC Utrecht | Draw | Telstar |
| 1-0 @ 6.78% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 6.7% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 4% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 2.63% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.21% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 1.57% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.96% Total : 26.84% | 1-1 @ 11.36% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 5.75% ( -0.05)2-2 @ 5.62% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.24% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.13% | 0-1 @ 9.64% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 9.53% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 8.09% ( 0)1-3 @ 5.33% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 4.52% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 3.14% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 2.24% ( 0.02)0-4 @ 1.9% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 1.32% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.32% Total : 49.02% |
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