Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club Leon win with a probability of 38.35%. A win for Juarez had a probability of 36.61% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Club Leon win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.38%) and 0-2 (6.04%). The likeliest Juarez win was 2-1 (8.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.
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-0.01) 
