SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kaiserslautern win with a probability of 39.04%. A win for Nuremberg had a probability of 38.1% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kaiserslautern win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.95%) and 2-0 (5%). The likeliest Nuremberg win was 1-2 (8.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Kaiserslautern would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Kaiserslautern | Draw | Nuremberg |
39.04% ( -0.04) | 22.86% ( -0.01) | 38.1% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 65.93% ( 0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.9% ( 0.07) | 35.09% ( -0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.9% ( 0.08) | 57.09% ( -0.08) |
| Kaiserslautern Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.41% ( 0.02) | 18.59% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.13% ( 0.03) | 49.87% ( -0.03) |
| Nuremberg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.98% ( 0.05) | 19.01% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.42% ( 0.09) | 50.57% ( -0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Kaiserslautern | Draw | Nuremberg |
| 2-1 @ 8.31% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 5.95% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 5% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 4.66% ( -0)3-2 @ 3.87% ( 0)3-0 @ 2.81% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.96% 4-2 @ 1.63% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.18% ( -0)Other @ 3.69% Total : 39.04% | 1-1 @ 9.87% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 6.89% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 3.53% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 2.14% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.42% Total : 22.86% | 1-2 @ 8.19% ( 0) 0-1 @ 5.87% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 4.87% ( -0)1-3 @ 4.53% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 3.82% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.7% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.88% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.58% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.12% ( 0)Other @ 3.54% Total : 38.1% |
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