Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kawasaki Frontale win with a probability of 64.18%. A draw had a probability of 19% and a win for Sagan Tosu had a probability of 16.87%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kawasaki Frontale win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.89%) and 1-0 (7.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.5%), while for a Sagan Tosu win it was 1-2 (4.65%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kawasaki Frontale would win this match.

Result
Kawasaki Frontale	Draw	Sagan Tosu
64.18% ( 0.2)	18.95% ( -0.13)	16.87% ( -0.07)

Both teams to score 59.79% (

0.33)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

65.72% (

0.49)

34.28% (

-0.48)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

43.82% (

0.55)

56.18% (

-0.54)

Kawasaki Frontale Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.87% (

0.19)

10.13% (

-0.19)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

66.67% (

0.43)

33.33% (

-0.42)

Sagan Tosu Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.53% (

0.22)

33.47% (

-0.22)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.9% (

0.24)

70.1% (

-0.24)

Score Analysis

Kawasaki Frontale 64.18%

Sagan Tosu 16.87%

Draw 18.95%

Kawasaki Frontale	Draw	Sagan Tosu
2-1 @ 9.73% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 8.89% ( -0.08) 1-0 @ 7.76% ( -0.13) 3-1 @ 7.42% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 6.78% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 4.25% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 4.06% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 3.88% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 2.33% ( 0.04) 5-1 @ 1.95% ( 0.04) 5-0 @ 1.78% ( 0.03) 5-2 @ 1.07% ( 0.03) Other @ 4.28% Total : 64.18%	1-1 @ 8.5% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 5.32% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 3.39% ( -0.09) 3-3 @ 1.48% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.26% Total : 18.95%	1-2 @ 4.65% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 3.71% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 2.03% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.94% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 1.7% ( 0) Other @ 2.84% Total : 16.87%