Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 17
Dec 2, 2023 at 7pm UK
Kolporter Arena
Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between Korona Kielce and Lech Poznan.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lech Poznan win with a probability of 44.32%. A win for Korona Kielce had a probability of 29.88% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lech Poznan win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.04%) and 0-2 (7.78%). The likeliest Korona Kielce win was 1-0 (8.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.26%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Lech Poznan in this match.
| Result |
| Korona Kielce | Draw | Lech Poznan |
29.88% ( -0.08) | 25.8% ( -0.03) | 44.32% ( 0.11) |
| Both teams to score 53.01% ( 0.05) |
| 49.1% ( 0.09) | 50.9% ( -0.09) |
| 27.22% ( 0.08) | 72.78% ( -0.08) |
| 68.75% ( -0.01) | 31.25% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 32.4% ( -0.01) | 67.6% ( 0.01) |
| 77.11% ( 0.09) | 22.89% ( -0.09) |
