SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union SG win with a probability of 53.33%. A win for Kortrijk had a probability of 24.41% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union SG win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.26%) and 0-2 (7.9%). The likeliest Kortrijk win was 2-1 (6.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Union SG would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Kortrijk | Draw | Union SG |
24.41% ( 0.12) | 22.26% ( 0.06) | 53.33% ( -0.18) |
| Both teams to score 60.3% ( -0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.78% ( -0.14) | 39.22% ( 0.14) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.45% ( -0.14) | 61.55% ( 0.15) |
| Kortrijk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.75% ( 0.02) | 29.25% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.79% ( 0.03) | 65.21% ( -0.02) |
| Union SG Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.23% ( -0.1) | 14.77% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.98% ( -0.2) | 43.02% ( 0.21) |
| Score Analysis |
| Kortrijk | Draw | Union SG |
| 2-1 @ 6.24% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 5.31% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 3.26% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 2.56% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.45% ( 0)3-0 @ 1.34% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.25% Total : 24.41% | 1-1 @ 10.15% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 5.97% ( 0)0-0 @ 4.32% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.56% ( -0)Other @ 0.25% Total : 22.25% | 1-2 @ 9.71% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 8.26% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 7.9% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 6.19% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 5.04% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 3.81% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 2.96% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 2.41% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 1.82% ( -0.01)1-5 @ 1.13% ( -0.01)0-5 @ 0.92% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.17% Total : 53.33% |
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