SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Krylia Sovetov win with a probability of 49.24%. A draw had a probability of 26.6% and a win for Nizhny Novgorod had a probability of 24.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a Krylia Sovetov win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.75%) and 2-1 (9.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.47%), while for a Nizhny Novgorod win it was 0-1 (8.61%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Krylia Sovetov would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Krylia Sovetov | Draw | Nizhny Novgorod |
49.24% ( -0.46) | 26.64% ( 0.1) | 24.13% ( 0.37) |
| Both teams to score 46.28% ( 0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.45% ( -0.07) | 57.55% ( 0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.67% ( -0.05) | 78.33% ( 0.06) |
| Krylia Sovetov Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.54% ( -0.24) | 23.46% ( 0.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.53% ( -0.35) | 57.47% ( 0.35) |
| Nizhny Novgorod Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.47% ( 0.31) | 39.54% ( -0.3) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.78% ( 0.28) | 76.22% ( -0.28) |
| Score Analysis |
| Krylia Sovetov | Draw | Nizhny Novgorod |
| 1-0 @ 13.44% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 9.75% ( -0.11)2-1 @ 9.05% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 4.71% ( -0.09)3-1 @ 4.37% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 2.03% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.71% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 1.59% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.59% Total : 49.23% | 1-1 @ 12.47% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 9.28% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 4.2% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.68% Total : 26.63% | 0-1 @ 8.61% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 5.79% ( 0.07)0-2 @ 3.99% ( 0.08)1-3 @ 1.79% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 1.3% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 1.24% ( 0.03)Other @ 1.41% Total : 24.13% |
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