SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nizhny Novgorod win with a probability of 36.59%. A win for Krylia Sovetov had a probability of 35.89% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nizhny Novgorod win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.93%) and 2-0 (6.59%). The likeliest Krylia Sovetov win was 0-1 (10.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nizhny Novgorod would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Nizhny Novgorod | Draw | Krylia Sovetov |
36.59% ( 0.92) | 27.52% ( 0.01) | 35.89% ( -0.93) |
| Both teams to score 49.27% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.57% ( -0.04) | 56.43% ( 0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.56% ( -0.04) | 77.44% ( 0.03) |
| Nizhny Novgorod Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.41% ( 0.55) | 29.59% ( -0.55) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.37% ( 0.66) | 65.63% ( -0.66) |
| Krylia Sovetov Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.97% ( -0.59) | 30.02% ( 0.59) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.85% ( -0.72) | 66.15% ( 0.72) |
| Score Analysis |
| Nizhny Novgorod | Draw | Krylia Sovetov |
| 1-0 @ 10.81% ( 0.18) 2-1 @ 7.93% ( 0.12)2-0 @ 6.59% ( 0.21)3-1 @ 3.22% ( 0.1)3-0 @ 2.67% ( 0.12)3-2 @ 1.94% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 0.98% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.45% Total : 36.58% | 1-1 @ 13.01% 0-0 @ 8.88% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 4.77% ( -0)Other @ 0.85% Total : 27.51% | 0-1 @ 10.69% ( -0.15) 1-2 @ 7.83% ( -0.13)0-2 @ 6.43% ( -0.2)1-3 @ 3.14% ( -0.1)0-3 @ 2.58% ( -0.13)2-3 @ 1.91% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 0.95% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.36% Total : 35.89% |
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