Russian Premier League | Gameweek 15
Oct 30, 2022 at 11am UK
Samara Arena
Gotsuk (90+2' og.),
Bijl (90+10' pen.)
Barac (31')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Suleymanov (32' pen.)
Nabiullin (6'), Penchikov (43'), Zhigulev (45+3'), Suleymanov (46'),
Gotsuk (56'),
Milson (61'),
Yansane (68'), Masoero (81')
Coverage of the Russian Premier League clash between Krylia Sovetov and Nizhny Novgorod.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Krylia Sovetov win with a probability of 53.21%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for Nizhny Novgorod had a probability of 20.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a Krylia Sovetov win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.32%) and 2-1 (8.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.13%), while for a Nizhny Novgorod win it was 0-1 (8.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Krylia Sovetov would win this match.
| Result |
| Krylia Sovetov | Draw | Nizhny Novgorod |
53.21% ( -0.03) | 26.71% ( 0) | 20.08% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 41.59% ( 0.01) |
| 38.78% ( -0.01) | 61.22% ( 0) |
| 18.84% ( -0.01) | 81.15% ( 0) |
| 76.74% ( -0.02) | 23.26% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 42.81% ( -0.02) | 57.19% ( 0.02) |
| 54.2% ( 0.02) | 45.79% ( -0.02) |
