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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Yokohama F Marinos win with a probability of 49.76%. A win for Kyoto Sanga had a probability of 27.02% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Yokohama F Marinos win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.5%) and 0-2 (7.59%). The likeliest Kyoto Sanga win was 2-1 (6.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Yokohama F Marinos would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Kyoto Sanga | Draw | Yokohama F Marinos |
27.02% ( 0.11) | 23.21% ( 0.15) | 49.76% ( -0.27) |
| Both teams to score 59.61% ( -0.44) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.68% ( -0.62) | 41.31% ( 0.62) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.29% ( -0.63) | 63.71% ( 0.63) |
| Kyoto Sanga Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.62% ( -0.24) | 28.38% ( 0.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.88% ( -0.31) | 64.12% ( 0.3) |
| Yokohama F Marinos Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.23% ( -0.33) | 16.77% ( 0.33) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.29% ( -0.59) | 46.71% ( 0.58) |
| Score Analysis |
| Kyoto Sanga | Draw | Yokohama F Marinos |
| 2-1 @ 6.74% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 5.99% ( 0.13)2-0 @ 3.77% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 2.83% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.53% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 1.59% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.57% Total : 27.02% | 1-1 @ 10.7% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 6.02% ( -0.04)0-0 @ 4.76% ( 0.13)3-3 @ 1.5% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.23% Total : 23.21% | 1-2 @ 9.56% ( -0) 0-1 @ 8.5% ( 0.14)0-2 @ 7.59% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 5.69% ( -0.07)0-3 @ 4.52% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 3.58% ( -0.07)1-4 @ 2.54% ( -0.06)0-4 @ 2.02% ( -0.03)2-4 @ 1.6% ( -0.05)1-5 @ 0.91% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.28% Total : 49.76% |
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