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Major League Soccer
Jul 5, 2024 at 3.40am UK
Rose Bowl
LA

LA Galaxy
1 - 2
Los Angeles

Pec (56')
Cerrillo (22'), Puig (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Kamara (40'), Bouanga (44' pen.)
Tillman (63')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Earthquakes 0-3 LA Galaxy
Sunday, June 30 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Los Angeles 3-0 Colorado
Sunday, June 30 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Los Angeles Galaxy 2-2 Los Angeles FC

Traditionally, these encounters are full of tension and goals, and we expect the same on Thursday in front of what should be a huge crowd in Pasadena. Defensive structure tends to be forgotten when these rivals take to the field, and we expect to see a plethora of scoring opportunities for each, though we do not believe either will do enough to earn three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles Galaxy win with a probability of 39.56%. A win for Los Angeles FC had a probability of 37.36% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles Galaxy win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.26%) and 2-0 (5.22%). The likeliest Los Angeles FC win was 1-2 (8.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.

Result
Los Angeles GalaxyDrawLos Angeles FC
39.56% (1.611 1.61) 23.08% (-0.144 -0.14) 37.36% (-1.461 -1.46)
Both teams to score 65% (0.536 0.54)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.72% (0.70800000000001 0.71)36.28% (-0.703 -0.7)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.59% (0.77 0.77)58.41% (-0.765 -0.77)
Los Angeles Galaxy Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.13% (1.044 1.04)18.87% (-1.039 -1.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.66% (1.709 1.71)50.34% (-1.705 -1.71)
Los Angeles FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.12% (-0.372 -0.37)19.88% (0.376 0.38)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48% (-0.606 -0.61)51.99% (0.612 0.61)
Score Analysis
    Los Angeles Galaxy 39.56%
    Los Angeles FC 37.36%
    Draw 23.08%
Los Angeles GalaxyDrawLos Angeles FC
2-1 @ 8.43% (0.159 0.16)
1-0 @ 6.26% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-0 @ 5.22% (0.158 0.16)
3-1 @ 4.68% (0.236 0.24)
3-2 @ 3.78% (0.148 0.15)
3-0 @ 2.9% (0.178 0.18)
4-1 @ 1.95% (0.158 0.16)
4-2 @ 1.58% (0.11 0.11)
4-0 @ 1.21% (0.111 0.11)
Other @ 3.56%
Total : 39.56%
1-1 @ 10.1% (-0.14 -0.14)
2-2 @ 6.81% (0.05 0.05)
0-0 @ 3.75% (-0.132 -0.13)
3-3 @ 2.04% (0.056 0.06)
Other @ 0.38%
Total : 23.08%
1-2 @ 8.16% (-0.209 -0.21)
0-1 @ 6.06% (-0.287 -0.29)
0-2 @ 4.9% (-0.292 -0.29)
1-3 @ 4.4% (-0.166 -0.17)
2-3 @ 3.67% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-3 @ 2.64% (-0.19 -0.19)
1-4 @ 1.78% (-0.089 -0.09)
2-4 @ 1.48% (-0.024 -0.02)
0-4 @ 1.07% (-0.09 -0.09)
Other @ 3.22%
Total : 37.36%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Earthquakes 0-3 LA Galaxy
Sunday, June 30 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Salt Lake 0-1 LA Galaxy
Sunday, June 23 at 2.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: LA Galaxy 2-0 NY City
Thursday, June 20 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: LA Galaxy 4-2 Kansas
Sunday, June 16 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Chicago Fire 2-1 LA Galaxy
Sunday, June 2 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: LA Galaxy 3-1 Dallas
Thursday, May 30 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Los Angeles 3-0 Colorado
Sunday, June 30 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Los Angeles 6-2 Earthquakes
Sunday, June 23 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Austin 1-1 Los Angeles
Thursday, June 20 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Orlando City 1-3 Los Angeles
Sunday, June 16 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Los Angeles 1-0 Dallas
Sunday, June 2 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Los Angeles 2-0 Minnesota Utd
Thursday, May 30 at 3.45am in Major League Soccer


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