SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles Galaxy win with a probability of 52.24%. A win for New York City FC had a probability of 25.33% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles Galaxy win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.13%) and 2-0 (7.68%). The likeliest New York City FC win was 1-2 (6.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Los Angeles Galaxy would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Los Angeles Galaxy | Draw | New York City FC |
52.24% ( -0.12) | 22.43% ( 0.05) | 25.33% ( 0.08) |
| Both teams to score 60.73% ( -0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.89% ( -0.14) | 39.11% ( 0.15) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.56% ( -0.16) | 61.44% ( 0.16) |
| Los Angeles Galaxy Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.91% ( -0.09) | 15.09% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.36% ( -0.18) | 43.64% ( 0.18) |
| New York City FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.52% ( -0.02) | 28.48% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.75% ( -0.02) | 64.25% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Los Angeles Galaxy | Draw | New York City FC |
| 2-1 @ 9.65% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8.13% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 7.68% ( 0)3-1 @ 6.08% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 4.84% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.82% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.88% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 2.29% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.81% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 1.09% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.97% Total : 52.24% | 1-1 @ 10.2% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 6.06% ( -0)0-0 @ 4.3% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.6% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.26% Total : 22.42% | 1-2 @ 6.41% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 5.4% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 3.39% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 2.69% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.54% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.42% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.48% Total : 25.33% |
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