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LA
Major League Soccer
Jun 2, 2024 at 3.30am UK
Banc of California Stadium
FD

Los Angeles
1 - 0
Dallas

Bouanga (74')
Chanot (37')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Delgado (44'), Musa (45+2'), Ibeagha (66'), Arriola (79')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Los Angeles 2-0 Minnesota Utd
Thursday, May 30 at 3.45am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: LA Galaxy 3-1 Dallas
Thursday, May 30 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Los Angeles FC 2-0 Dallas

Los Angeles have been fantastic at home so far this campaign, yet to lose in any of their eight fixtures in front of their own crowd, while Dallas are the worst-performing side on the road, leaving us to believe the hosts will win this one. The Black and Gold have kept clean sheets in each of their last five outings, and we expect that run to continue here with a shutout victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles FC win with a probability of 70.18%. A draw had a probability of 17.2% and a win for Dallas had a probability of 12.66%.

The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles FC win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.56%) and 1-0 (8.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.91%), while for a Dallas win it was 1-2 (3.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Los Angeles FC would win this match.

Result
Los Angeles FCDrawDallas
70.18% (0.401 0.4) 17.16% (-0.194 -0.19) 12.66% (-0.206 -0.21)
Both teams to score 55.13% (0.101 0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.97% (0.432 0.43)35.03% (-0.42899999999999 -0.43)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.98% (0.48 0.48)57.02% (-0.477 -0.48)
Los Angeles FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.07% (0.205 0.2)8.93% (-0.201 -0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
69.51% (0.48599999999999 0.49)30.49% (-0.483 -0.48)
Dallas Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.53% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)39.47% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.84% (-0.023 -0.02)76.16% (0.025999999999996 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Los Angeles FC 70.18%
    Dallas 12.66%
    Draw 17.16%
Los Angeles FCDrawDallas
2-0 @ 10.28% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
2-1 @ 9.56% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
1-0 @ 8.51% (-0.106 -0.11)
3-0 @ 8.28% (0.051 0.05)
3-1 @ 7.7% (0.042 0.04)
4-0 @ 5% (0.077 0.08)
4-1 @ 4.65% (0.069 0.07)
3-2 @ 3.58% (0.017 0.02)
5-0 @ 2.42% (0.059 0.06)
5-1 @ 2.25% (0.054 0.05)
4-2 @ 2.16% (0.03 0.03)
5-2 @ 1.05% (0.024 0.02)
6-0 @ 0.97% (0.033 0.03)
6-1 @ 0.91% (0.029 0.03)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 70.18%
1-1 @ 7.91% (-0.104 -0.1)
2-2 @ 4.44% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 3.52% (-0.077 -0.08)
3-3 @ 1.11% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 17.16%
1-2 @ 3.68% (-0.051 -0.05)
0-1 @ 3.28% (-0.074 -0.07)
0-2 @ 1.52% (-0.036 -0.04)
2-3 @ 1.38% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.14% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 1.67%
Total : 12.66%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Los Angeles 2-0 Minnesota Utd
Thursday, May 30 at 3.45am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Atlanta 0-1 Los Angeles
Sunday, May 26 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: St Louis City 0-2 Los Angeles
Thursday, May 16 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Los Angeles 3-0 Vancouver
Sunday, May 12 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Earthquakes 3-1 Los Angeles
Sunday, May 5 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Los Angeles 3-2 Portland
Sunday, April 28 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: LA Galaxy 3-1 Dallas
Thursday, May 30 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Dallas 3-3 Salt Lake
Sunday, May 26 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Houston 1-1 Dallas
Sunday, May 19 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Dallas 2-1 Austin
Sunday, May 12 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Toronto 3-1 Dallas
Sunday, May 5 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Dallas 2-0 Houston
Sunday, April 28 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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