Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles FC win with a probability of 75.9%. A draw had a probability of 14% and a win for Minnesota United had a probability of 10.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles FC win was 2-0 with a probability of 8.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.6%) and 3-0 (8.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.99%), while for a Minnesota United win it was 1-2 (2.97%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Los Angeles FC in this match.
Result | ||
Los Angeles FC | Draw | Minnesota United |
75.9% ( -0.22) | 13.97% ( 0.11) | 10.13% ( 0.11) |
Both teams to score 59.3% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
74.05% ( -0.2) | 25.96% ( 0.21) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
53.85% ( -0.26) | 46.16% ( 0.27) |
Los Angeles FC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
94.32% ( -0.08) | 5.68% ( 0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
78.03% ( -0.23) | 21.97% ( 0.23) |
Minnesota United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.87% ( 0.04) | 37.14% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.08% ( 0.04) | 73.92% ( -0.04) |
Score Analysis |
Los Angeles FC | Draw | Minnesota United |
2-0 @ 8.68% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 8.6% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 8.3% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 8.22% ( -0) 1-0 @ 6.05% ( 0.05) 4-0 @ 5.95% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 5.89% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 4.07% ( 0) 5-0 @ 3.41% ( -0.04) 5-1 @ 3.38% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 2.92% ( -0.01) 5-2 @ 1.67% ( -0.02) 6-0 @ 1.63% ( -0.03) 6-1 @ 1.62% ( -0.02) 4-3 @ 0.96% ( -0) Other @ 4.56% Total : 75.9% | 1-1 @ 5.99% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 4.26% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 2.11% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.34% ( 0) Other @ 0.27% Total : 13.97% | 1-2 @ 2.97% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 2.09% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 1.41% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 1.04% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 0.98% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.65% Total : 10.13% |
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