SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles Galaxy win with a probability of 59.81%. A win for Sporting Kansas City had a probability of 20.92% and a draw had a probability of 19.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles Galaxy win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.22%) and 2-0 (6.93%). The likeliest Sporting Kansas City win was 1-2 (5.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.92%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Los Angeles Galaxy would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Los Angeles Galaxy | Draw | Sporting Kansas City |
59.81% ( -0.23) | 19.27% ( 0.11) | 20.92% ( 0.12) |
| Both teams to score 66.62% ( -0.24) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 71.05% ( -0.38) | 28.94% ( 0.38) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 50.09% ( -0.47) | 49.91% ( 0.47) |
| Los Angeles Galaxy Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.36% ( -0.17) | 9.63% ( 0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 67.82% ( -0.39) | 32.18% ( 0.39) |
| Sporting Kansas City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.73% ( -0.13) | 26.27% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.61% ( -0.18) | 61.39% ( 0.17) |
| Score Analysis |
| Los Angeles Galaxy | Draw | Sporting Kansas City |
| 2-1 @ 9.26% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 7.22% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 6.93% ( 0.05)1-0 @ 5.92% ( 0.09)3-0 @ 5.4% ( 0)3-2 @ 4.83% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 4.23% ( -0.05)4-0 @ 3.16% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 2.82% ( -0.04)5-1 @ 1.98% ( -0.04)5-0 @ 1.48% ( -0.02)5-2 @ 1.32% ( -0.03)4-3 @ 1.26% ( -0.02)Other @ 4% Total : 59.81% | 1-1 @ 7.92% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 6.19% ( 0)0-0 @ 2.53% ( 0.06)3-3 @ 2.15% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.48% Total : 19.27% | 1-2 @ 5.29% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 3.38% ( 0.06)2-3 @ 2.76% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.36% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 2.26% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 1.01% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 0.92% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.94% Total : 20.92% |
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