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SK
Major League Soccer
May 12, 2024 at 1.30am UK
Children's Mercy Park
HD

Kansas
1 - 2
Houston

Salloi (61')
Rodriguez (45'), Fontas (85')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Herrera (31'), Ibrahim (78')
Kowalczyk (90+4')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Salt Lake 1-0 Kansas
Sunday, May 5 at 2.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Houston 0-0 St Louis City
Sunday, May 5 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Sporting Kansas City 2-1 Houston Dynamo

Houston Dynamo have struggled in front of goal recently, but we can see them getting on the scoresheet in this one. That said, we are also backing the home side to get the job done, albeit by only a narrow margin. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Kansas City win with a probability of 46.2%. A win for Houston Dynamo had a probability of 29.1% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Kansas City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.31%) and 2-0 (7.64%). The likeliest Houston Dynamo win was 0-1 (7.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.

Result
Sporting Kansas CityDrawHouston Dynamo
46.2% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02) 24.69% (0.0070000000000014 0.01) 29.1% (0.004999999999999 0)
Both teams to score 56.15% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.41% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)46.59% (0.025999999999996 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.14% (-0.031000000000002 -0.03)68.86% (0.025000000000006 0.03)
Sporting Kansas City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.76% (-0.022000000000006 -0.02)20.24% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.43% (-0.031000000000006 -0.03)52.57% (0.026000000000003 0.03)
Houston Dynamo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.4% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)29.6% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.37% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)65.63% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Sporting Kansas City 46.2%
    Houston Dynamo 29.11%
    Draw 24.69%
Sporting Kansas CityDrawHouston Dynamo
1-0 @ 9.57% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.31% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-0 @ 7.64% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 4.96% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
3-0 @ 4.07% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 3.02% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 1.98% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
4-0 @ 1.63% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 1.21% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 46.2%
1-1 @ 11.65% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.99% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.67% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-3 @ 1.23% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 24.69%
0-1 @ 7.29% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.09% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 4.44% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 2.88%
2-3 @ 2.3% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
0-3 @ 1.8% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.3%
Total : 29.11%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Salt Lake 1-0 Kansas
Sunday, May 5 at 2.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Minnesota Utd 2-1 Kansas
Sunday, April 28 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Kansas 3-3 St Louis City
Sunday, April 21 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Kansas 2-3 Inter Miami
Sunday, April 14 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Kansas 3-3 Portland
Sunday, April 7 at 6.45pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Toronto 1-3 Kansas
Saturday, March 30 at 11.30pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Houston 0-0 St Louis City
Sunday, May 5 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Dallas 2-0 Houston
Sunday, April 28 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Houston 0-1 Austin
Sunday, April 21 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Minnesota Utd 1-2 Houston
Sunday, April 14 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Chicago Fire 2-1 Houston
Sunday, April 7 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Houston 2-1 Earthquakes
Sunday, March 31 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer


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