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AF
Major League Soccer
May 19, 2024 at 1.30am UK
Bold Stadium
SK

Austin
3 - 2
Kansas

Obrian (28', 39'), Driussi (46')
Cascante (23'), Kolmanic (70'), Pereira (89'), Valencia (90')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Russell (19'), Davis (63')
Fontas (88'), Radoja (90+4')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Austin 1-0 Houston
Thursday, May 16 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Kansas 1-2 Houston
Sunday, May 12 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Austin FC 3-1 Sporting Kansas City

Austin have been brilliant at home in their recent outings and are now on the verge of breaking their record for most successive wins at home since joining the MLS, and we believe they will do just that with a victory against an out-of-sorts Kansas. This fixture has provided plenty of goals in their recent meetings, and we expect that theme to continue in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Austin FC win with a probability of 42.33%. A win for Sporting Kansas City had a probability of 33.47% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an Austin FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.99%) and 2-0 (6.39%). The likeliest Sporting Kansas City win was 1-2 (7.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.16%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Austin FC would win this match.

Result
Austin FCDrawSporting Kansas City
42.33% (0.394 0.39) 24.19% (0.0079999999999991 0.01) 33.47% (-0.407 -0.41)
Both teams to score 60.04% (-0.163 -0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.58% (-0.16 -0.16)42.41% (0.156 0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.17% (-0.159 -0.16)64.82% (0.155 0.16)
Austin FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.77% (0.107 0.11)20.22% (-0.111 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.46% (0.174 0.17)52.54% (-0.178 -0.18)
Sporting Kansas City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.26% (-0.31 -0.31)24.73% (0.306 0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.71% (-0.435 -0.43)59.28% (0.43 0.43)
Score Analysis
    Austin FC 42.33%
    Sporting Kansas City 33.48%
    Draw 24.18%
Austin FCDrawSporting Kansas City
2-1 @ 8.93% (0.044 0.04)
1-0 @ 7.99% (0.083 0.08)
2-0 @ 6.39% (0.088 0.09)
3-1 @ 4.76% (0.040999999999999 0.04)
3-0 @ 3.41% (0.059 0.06)
3-2 @ 3.32% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 1.9% (0.023 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.36% (0.028 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.33% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 42.33%
1-1 @ 11.16% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.24% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
0-0 @ 5% (0.035 0.04)
3-3 @ 1.55% (-0.015 -0.02)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 24.18%
1-2 @ 7.8% (-0.058 -0.06)
0-1 @ 6.99% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.88% (-0.053 -0.05)
1-3 @ 3.63% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-3 @ 2.9% (-0.037 -0.04)
0-3 @ 2.27% (-0.046 -0.05)
1-4 @ 1.27% (-0.032 -0.03)
2-4 @ 1.01% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 33.48%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Austin 1-0 Houston
Thursday, May 16 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Dallas 2-1 Austin
Sunday, May 12 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Vancouver 0-0 Austin
Sunday, May 5 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Austin 2-0 LA Galaxy
Saturday, April 27 at 6.45pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Houston 0-1 Austin
Sunday, April 21 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: St Louis City 1-0 Austin
Sunday, April 14 at 9.45pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Kansas 1-2 Houston
Sunday, May 12 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Salt Lake 1-0 Kansas
Sunday, May 5 at 2.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Minnesota Utd 2-1 Kansas
Sunday, April 28 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Kansas 3-3 St Louis City
Sunday, April 21 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Kansas 2-3 Inter Miami
Sunday, April 14 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Kansas 3-3 Portland
Sunday, April 7 at 6.45pm in Major League Soccer


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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