SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lanus win with a probability of 48.41%. A draw had a probability of 27.4% and a win for Gimnasia had a probability of 24.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lanus win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.85%) and 2-1 (8.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.67%), while for a Gimnasia win it was 0-1 (9.15%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Lanus | Draw | Gimnasia |
48.41% ( -0.19) | 27.42% ( 0.09) | 24.16% ( 0.11) |
| Both teams to score 44.23% ( -0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.78% ( -0.22) | 60.22% ( 0.22) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.59% ( -0.17) | 80.4% ( 0.17) |
| Lanus Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.98% ( -0.19) | 25.02% ( 0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.31% ( -0.27) | 59.68% ( 0.27) |
| Gimnasia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.98% ( -0.03) | 41.01% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.43% ( -0.02) | 77.57% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lanus | Draw | Gimnasia |
| 1-0 @ 14.21% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 9.85% ( -0.03)2-1 @ 8.78% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 4.55% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 4.05% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 1.81% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 1.58% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.4% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.18% Total : 48.41% | 1-1 @ 12.67% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 10.26% ( 0.09)2-2 @ 3.91% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.58% Total : 27.42% | 0-1 @ 9.15% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 5.65% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 4.08% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 1.68% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.21% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.16% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.24% Total : 24.16% |
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