SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 5 | Defensa y Justicia | 12 | 7 | 22 |
| 6 | Gimnasia | 13 | 2 | 21 |
| 7 | Aldosivi | 12 | 4 | 20 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 17 | San Lorenzo | 14 | -2 | 15 |
| 18 | Lanus | 13 | -1 | 14 |
| 19 | Arsenal Sarandi | 12 | 0 | 13 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gimnasia win with a probability of 54.41%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Lanus had a probability of 21.01%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gimnasia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.42%) and 2-1 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.64%), while for a Lanus win it was 0-1 (7.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Gimnasia in this match.
| Result | ||
| Gimnasia | Draw | Lanus |
54.41% ( -0.1) | 24.57% ( 0.01) | 21.01% ( 0.09) |
| Both teams to score 48.46% ( 0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.17% ( 0.04) | 52.82% ( -0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.55% ( 0.03) | 74.44% ( -0.03) |
| Gimnasia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.65% ( -0.03) | 19.34% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.88% ( -0.04) | 51.12% ( 0.04) |
| Lanus Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.08% ( 0.11) | 39.92% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.42% ( 0.1) | 76.58% ( -0.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Gimnasia | Draw | Lanus |
| 1-0 @ 12.68% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 10.42% ( -0.03)2-1 @ 9.57% 3-0 @ 5.71% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 5.24% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.41% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 2.34% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.15% ( -0)4-2 @ 0.99% ( 0)Other @ 2.91% Total : 54.41% | 1-1 @ 11.64% 0-0 @ 7.72% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 4.39% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.81% Total : 24.57% | 0-1 @ 7.09% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 5.35% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 3.26% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 1.64% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.35% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.33% Total : 21.01% |
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